Tesla Report – 09.14.2024

September 20, 2024by Kaspar Cameron

Tesla remains the undisputed leader in the electric vehicle (EV) market, continuing to drive the future of transportation. While its market share in the U.S. and Europe has dipped slightly, now at 17.6% of global BEV sales through July; this is a natural consequence of the broader EV market expanding. Make no mistake, Tesla is not losing ground in the long-term race.

Tesla is not just a car company, it’s a leader in transportation as a service, and this is where the next leg of growth lies.

What we’re seeing is increased competition, and during this challenging economic period, consumers are gravitating toward more affordable options. But this is a short-term dynamic. The real narrative for investors is Tesla’s unmatched brand power, tech advantage, and long-term vision. The bigger story is Tesla’s dominance in full self-driving (FSD) technology, which will fundamentally reshape its profitability model in the years to come.

With FSD already bringing in subscription revenue, and CEO Elon Musk discussing plans to license the technology to other automakers, Tesla’s strategy is laser-focused on the future of autonomous driving. And let’s not forget the highly anticipated robotaxi unveiling on October 10, which could be a game-changer for the industry. Tesla is not just a car company, it’s a leader in transportation as a service, and this is where the next leg of growth lies.

But it doesn’t stop there. Tesla’s Dojo supercomputer and Tesla AI are at the heart of its autonomous strategy. Dojo is a neural network training powerhouse, capable of accelerating Tesla’s self-driving AI in ways competitors simply can’t match. This kind of proprietary tech isn’t just an incremental gain, it’s a transformational leap. As Tesla gathers unprecedented amounts of real-world driving data, Dojo will be a game changer, speeding up AI development and unlocking even greater potential in autonomy.

Tesla Energy is another key part of the broader story. With the world moving towards sustainable energy solutions, Tesla’s solar and battery storage businesses are positioned to play a massive role. While not always in the headlines, this division is laying the groundwork for long-term growth, ensuring Tesla remains a diversified player in the energy transition.

And finally, Optimus, Tesla’s humanoid robot, has the potential to disrupt industries far beyond automotive. Although it’s still early days, this moonshot program could fundamentally alter labor markets and manufacturing processes in the years ahead. Optimus, along with Tesla AI and robotics, represents the company’s relentless drive to innovate beyond just cars, and could deliver exponential growth down the road.

While Q2 financials reflected some pressure, with revenue rising 2% to $25.5 billion and net income dropping due to price cuts and the Cybertruck ramp-up, these are short-term headwinds. Tesla is positioning itself for long-term success, and the autonomous driving data it’s amassing is second to none. According to Ark Invest, Tesla is gathering autonomous driving data 110 times faster than Alphabet’s Waymo, giving it an unparalleled edge in the AI-driven future of transportation.

With Wall Street forecasting Tesla’s adjusted earnings to grow at 21% annually through 2025, and Ark Invest’s price target of $2,600 by 2029, implying a 1,040% upside, the runway for growth is massive. Investors need to see past the noise and understand that Tesla is playing the long game. Those who grasp the magnitude of Tesla’s innovation, data advantage, and potential in autonomous driving, AI, energy, and robotics will reap the rewards.

In conclusion, Tesla’s innovation engine is just getting started, and whether through FSD, Dojo, AI, robotaxis, Optimus, or its energy division, this company is in the early stages of a transformation that will define the future of transportation, AI, and beyond.